There's very little luck in innovation
08:46My
good friend Paul Hobcraft wrote a nice piece recently
about how corporations seem to experience innovation. He compared it to the game
of snakes and ladders. In this country (the US) we recognize it as chutes and
ladders, a game that allows a player to progress quickly if they land on a
ladder, and regress quickly if they land on a chute. Paul notes that corporate
innovation seems to reflect this experience, sometimes rapidly progressing, then
just as rapidly relapsing. He notes that the game, which he calls Snakes and
Ladders, has no strategy. It's simply based on luck. And to some extent he is
making the claim, indirectly, that corporate innovation is not based on
strategy, but on luck.
I'd
like to take his claim, such as it is, and extend it by noting that many
commentators describe luck as when preparation meets opportunity. Seneca, a
Roman philosopher, was the first to suggest that luck
is simply the intersection of preparation and opportunity. If we accept this
somewhat trite but accepted definition, we can think a bit about what holds
corporate innovation back.
Opportunity
If
luck is made up of opportunity and preparation, we can first examine the idea of
opportunity.
The
question then becomes: does every organization in a market understand and
experience the same opportunity to innovate, and at the same time? The
simplistic answer is: yes. New customer, market, business model and other
opportunities are emerging all the time. No individual firm has a claim to any
emerging opportunity. These opportunities are agnostic; they don't care who
spots them and capitalizes on them.
This
means then that opportunities are ubiquitous and available for those who spot
them and act quickly to capitalize on them. This means that good innovators are
firms that are paying attention to emerging opportunities. If you aren't paying
attention, if you aren't scanning for emerging opportunities you can only be a
fast follower. In the end, every firm has the same chance at spotting an
opportunity, the only question is whether or not they are looking.
Preparation
If
luck is when preparation meets opportunity, then what is innovation luck? Being
prepared to act, with the appropriate skills and knowledge, when an innovation
opportunity emerges. This assumes that the firm can 1) spot an emerging
opportunity and 2) act on the opportunity, which emphasizes preparation.
Preparation
to many organizations looks like an investment that has a low potential for
pay-off. Why invest in skills and training for innovation opportunities that
may not occur, when budgets and bandwidth is limited? And, since innovation
skills aren't regularly exercised, they often wither or dissipate when they are
introduced and not used regularly. Or they appear strange and unusual when
introduced at the last moment, when an opportunity is spotted but the people are
unprepared.
The
Answer?
We
believe the answer lies in a continuous evaluation process, constantly looking
for emerging needs, emerging segments and emerging opportunities. Spotting these
before others do provides the chance to steal a march on competition. This
requires a regular scanning of the market and customers and competition, as well
as a close examination of trends that will impact market dynamics. Along with
this scanning and analysis, a regular program of both incremental and disruptive
innovation builds and sustains innovation skills, so that people and processes
can execute quickly against a new opportunity. Additional skills or
competencies can be added "just in time" when a new opportunity is validated,
building on existing skills and processes.
Sometimes,
in rare occasions, a firm will find itself alone in the midst of an opportunity
and will simply need to act to win. Far more often, opportunities are emerging
than any firm can respond to, and those with the best sensing capability and
most preparation will be able to win. There's another trite but true saying
that applies here: hope is not a strategy. Rather than hope that you'll end up
in a non-competitive but attractive opportunity, act to understand the future
that provides innovation opportunities you can meet fully prepared.
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