Being a good innovator is not enough
09:14I
think there are few firms that were more innovative than Intel. Notice that I'm
using the past tense. Intel, lead by an excellent leader in Andy Grove, had a
passion for being the best. Grove's focus - "only the paranoid survive" kept
Intel as an industry leader and innovator. When I was younger, working for
Texas Instruments, Intel seemed to constantly reinvent the computing industry.
Many of us in the semiconductor space could only look on with awe.
But
now, the innovator has lost its chops. Not so much because they cannot
innovate, but because they failed to notice the shifting markets and demands.
Intel and Microsoft bet big on the PC, a specific platform, a specific user
experience. And while that platform dominated the industry, they could stay one
step ahead of the competition. But when the platform was no longer the dominant
platform, they had fewer answers. When the smartphone came along, Intel was far
behind, because it had excellent computing processors but no one is trying to
crank through enormous numbers or expects an incredible visual display on their
smart phones and small devices. Most people are really happy with just good
enough, and Intel's bet on the larger platform is now costing them dearly.
Intel
didn't lose the ability to innovate, although their innovation capabilities have
slowed a bit. Unlike other seemingly obsolescent innovators, Intel still
retains a lot of intellectual property and claims to a significant share of the
computing platform. It's just that the audience is turning to other platforms
where Intel has very little to offer, and is well behind the curve. In this
case the industry and consumers shifted in ways that should not have been
surprising for Intel, but either their hubris or their innovation engines simply
could not keep up. Now, a company that still has good innovation capabilities
is on the outside, looking in, at a market that has emerged rapidly but
predictably.
Modern
media - TV, movies, etc - have projected for years the importance of small,
handheld devices. Dick Tracy had the high tech radio/watch thingy, Star Trek
imagined the handheld communicator and health diagnostic device. Nokia invented
the concept of the smart phone and Apple entered the smart phone market in the
late 1990s, yet Intel did not do enough to innovate in this space, because of
its dominance in the PC market and the associated profits. Perhaps they had
some thresholds for revenue or profit that kept them from entering the market,
or perhaps they simply overlooked the possibilities of a different platform.
Time and the history books will tell us.
Here's
what we need to learn from this - even good innovators need to pay attention to
emerging trends and be ready to shift platforms and business models as
necessary. Just as Apple took the music distribution business from Tower
Records and others, then watched as Pandora and Spotify did the same to them,
smart people at Intel should have (and probably did) see the emergence of the
smart phone, e-readers, tablets and so forth, yet they did too little to gain
traction in these devices. It's not enough to lock up an existing market, you
also have to understand how the market and customer demands and platforms are
shifting, and move quickly to win those new markets and customers. This can be
hard to do when you are a leader in one market or platform and a new one
emerges, but as Intel and others demonstrate, being flexible and identifying
adjacencies is vital.
This
lesson is especially true as the pace of change increases - this is the point
that many executives know in their hearts but refuse to acknowledge in their
heads. The pace of change is increasing, which means the life span of
platforms, markets and customer segments is likely to shrink. You've got to be
able to innovate, create a position and keep innovating beyond the original
platform or market to stay viable. Intel is a very capable innovator, but
currently locked into an increasingly unattractive platform. This is like
having the best boat in a very small pond. Intel should have been moving to new
bodies of water long ago.
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